Archive for Future Tech

The Music Industry is Stupid

Posted in Future Tech, iPod - MP3 by jspirko on July 18th, 2007
jspirko

There were plenty of people who trashed the Microsoft Zune back when it was released, which I mistakenly called a Homerun for Microsoft back in September of 2006.  I was planning on buying one but have since realized that the first generation player from Microsoft is lacking in many areas and choose to stick to Creative and just upgraded to a Creative Zen W. 

You see I really thought Microsoft had figured it out when I saw comments from Zune’s Senior Director of Project Management (Scott Erickson) on MTV news when he said and I quote,  "If it was ripped from a CD in your personal collection, you can import all of that including your playlists, album art, ratings and play counts."  Unfortunately it turned out that Senior Director Scott Erickson did not know his own product (which seems like not knowing your ass from a hole in the ground to me) and DRM is applied to any and all music on the Zune not just what was purchased from the Zune Marketplace so that really crushed a lot of the wow factor of the sharing feature on the Zune.

When I finally got to handle a Zune finally and I had to admit it is a well made unit, great graphics, great feel, easy to use and as a device alone I like it better then the iPod but much about it and the Marketplace to me is still a flop!

Yet this is not another slam on Zune as there is enough of that was done a long time ago.  Zune and its strict DRMs are just another symptom of the real problems with the entire music industry and all the services from iTunes to Zune Marketplace and others.  This article is meant to be about the industry as a whole and I want to be proactive so rather then just telling you what I think is wrong with the model I will try to also outline what I think is the right way to build a music downloading service and family of players. 

As I do this I am coming at it from three perspectives. 

  • One, a user of portable players and downloadable music.
  • Two, an Internet marketer that knows what works online and understands industry trends and what Web2.0 really means.  
  • Third, from the view of the service provider and how the provider and music industry could make money. 

My belief is users complain about services with no thought that the providers need to make money, the providers think far more about money then the users and most executives certainly don’t know what Web2.0 is other then an excuse to blow some venture capital money and throw some 1999 style parties.

Before I go on let me be totally honest with you about where I get my music at the present time.  About half is from CDs I own that I have been buying since 1988 the other half is mostly from Limewire where I do what industry people would call “stealing music”.  I am not alone I have it from very good sources that the number one service accessed from just about every major University in the U.S. today is Limewire and it has been almost since the day Napster was slapped down and forced to charge for music.

I do still buy CDs of some artists, some I want to support like the new Chris Daughtry CD and others where I really want the entire album and not just one or two songs.  I want the reader to also understand that I would actually prefer to buy music if a service that respected my rights as the owner of the content I just paid for existed. 

I have about 8 PCs in my house and we own over a half dozen portable players (including yes, gasp a 30GB iPod) and even an old fashioned CD player that holds 60 plus CDs.  Our truck has a CD player and our cool new VW Jetta has a 6-disk changer that plays both audio disks and mp3 disks.

When I buy a song (and no I don’t F’ing “rent” music) I want to be able to move it to any device I want it on so I can play it the way I want to, as I want to, how I want to and for as long as I want to.  I don’t want DRM on my music, I don’t want to not be able to rip it to a CD as the player in our truck only plays regular music CD’s and I also like to still make CD’s for my wife, yea I am an old sap romantic.  I don't use Limewire because I am too cheap to buy music, I use it because it best serves my wants as a person that listens to music.  There are millions of people just like me out there, make no mistake about it.  

I also feel that we should be paying about half or less for music in soft copy not just as much or even 90% of the CD price as most music works out from Apple, Microsoft and the other services.  Damn it we spent all those years from the dawn of vinyl records all the way through the golden age of the CD and what did the music industry claim was the reason for what we called the “high cost of CDs”?  The industry claimed it was manufacturing and packaging and shipping driving up the cost, which remained the standard answer all the way up until the iPod age.  

Funny how that old excuse is just not heard any more, now they have new reasons (excuses) and guilt us with sob stories about the “poor artists”.  Anyone with any industry knowledge knows the artists make very little on the album sales and earn most money from touring which they have to fit the bill for and manage mostly for themselves by the way.  Besides from Garth Brooks to the Chili Peppers to old timers like Bachman Turner Overdrive all the artists seem to be doing quite well for themselves.  Well, everyone but the Dixie Chicks, which teaches us the lesson of know your target demographic before you open your mouth in public!

the dual tape deck did not kill the music industryYou see unlike many of our youth (which I consider those under 25 or there abouts) I have not grown up with mostly electronic music, CD burners and iPods.  No, I still remember the first tape decks and how the music industry tried to stop them because according to industry fat cats back then, “people recording the radio was going to destroy the music industry”, yes they really said that.  I remember the first dual cassette decks where people could dub one tape to the next and how the music execs forecasted doom and gloom and the very death of music and the same reaction to the first CD burners and then finally when P2P music came out the same cries of doom were uttered.  

The crying of the music executives is an old story and despite how long it has been going on the bigwigs at Sony, Time Warner, etc still have leather walls in their offices and marble floors.  I don’t begrudge them from making the big bucks and officing in downtown Manhattan either, no that is fine with me, I am a capitalist and making money is the American way just don’t sing me a sob story when you eat caviar for lunch, drive a Jag and have LEATHER WALLS! 

(note:  I have visited the Sony Building in New York, Yep they really do have leather walls.)

So now I have totally ripped the industry how about the solution I promised?  I am getting to it I just wanted to lay the foundation first so you could see how the solution actually fixes the problems and why the model I am going to propose would not only work but work better and still create plenty of profit for the music industry the service provider and the artists.

Side Note: If you are one of those types that thinks that all corporations are bad and profit is a vulgar word, go live in the woods because with out profit you would not have any of the things that make your life enjoyable, like your iPod, your Car or your house.

The solution is really pretty simple…

First, charge a reasonable price for each down load that should be 25-30% of the price of a hard copy, or about 25-35 cents per download.  I am sorry Mr. Sonny Executive but you can’t tell me cases, disks, printing, etc are your biggest costs for 5 decades and expect me to forget about that now.  I believed you then and I still believe you today, your amnesia is not contagious, I won’t forget the reality of the cost of materials, distribution and printing that you told me about for 50 years.

Second, follow a principal of real Web2.0, which is the more people that use a service the better it performs.  This is how Limewire works, the more users that have a song the faster it will be to download it.  With an iTunes model the more users the more resources Apple must provide to serve them.  Bandwidth transfer is a huge expense for any music provider. 

Simply put a token of some type on your tracks (not DRM) or allow your system to compare files so pieces of each track can be downloaded from multiple users.  This guarantees a user high quality music but defers a huge piece of the expense from the provider and improves the user experience. 

That is win-win and it works just fine, my music off Limewire is proof.  Honestly if, iTunes or Napster music is “better quality” it is a difference beyond my hearing ability and that of most other honest people as well.

Third, don’t DRM the music let people burn CDs, put it on any PC they want, etc.  Why?  Simply because you can’t stop it anyway, millions of people are sharing that song every day on Limewire and other P2P networks, emailing them and hell most new music is on 50 different YouTube videos anyway.  Stripping out the audio is pretty easy, even an old men like Mark Cuban and myself can do it. 

When I thought about this my first intention was to explain how greed is the problem here.   The music industry executives are so afraid of loosing sales because of greed they can’t see the opportunity to make more money by getting people who are using services like Limewire to start using a paid service.  The more I thought about it though, I think greed is the solution!  Greed is bad when you fear loosing but when you think of what you can acquire, greed can be good.

The music industry needs to redirect that greed from preventing legitimate users from sharing music and point it at how to get non paying users to voluntarily and happily start paying for music.  You see more people “steal” music then buy it today, a lot more!  The system I am outlining would be able to capture so much volume and reduce costs to such a level that the industry could make MORE MONEY by doing it.

Fourth, Take sharing to where Microsoft should have gone immediately.  Devices like Zune are just the first ones, PDAs have been beaming contact info since the 90s the technology is not hard to build so more players will come.  I do believe that music users should not be able to beam songs at will to non-paying members but the solution is pretty simple.  Let users who are paying members beam any song, let them play it a lot but at some point yes the song goes away.

You don’t have to universally DRM music to do this!  Just DRM music that is beamed as it is BEING BEAMED.  Don’t let users move beamed songs to PCs or burn disks, etc.  Now here is the real kicker, if you have a unlimited download service, then token the users device to allow unlimited sharing for paying unlimited users.  Why the hell not?  If they have unlimited downloads they could get it anyway, right?  Consider that if you did this again you are following the Web2.0 concept and the receiver does not use your system resources to redownload the song across your system.

Then do what the clueless Project Manager from Microsoft thought they were going to do and allow any music or any files not from your service to be exchanged at will.  If you are thinking about lost sales, keep the greed pointed in the right direction, more users = more sales = more money.

Fifth, Follow the Web2.0 concept of Google and make money with advertising.  Now this is not the nonsense that Spiral Frog tried.  I know as an adSense Publisher that ads do not work well in environments where users are “highly involved” like downloading music or in forums.  When a user is doing a task not just browsing they have a huge degree of ad blindness.    In other words on a general information page some of my ads do better then 15% click through but on a forum page with high return visitors and user interaction my ads are generally below 1%.

So, knowing that people downloading songs won’t be in an ad clicking mood and knowing the most relevant things you can sell them, music and players they are already buying (from you buy the way) what source of quality third party advertising revenue can you find.  One word Artists!  Sure Puff Daddy, Jessica Simpson or Justin Timberlake won’t pay money to get you to offer free downloads their music (not at first anyway) but tens of thousands of undiscovered talent all over the world will.

Think about this you are a garage band or bar band trying to make it.  You have cool original sound, your small group of fans love you so sending them out with a bunch of Zune type players, to beam you to users is not a bad idea right?  Well with out the stupid three-day, three strong restriction.  Well, what if you could have your music on a service like iTunes (I know technically you can already, stay with me here) or Zune Marketplace but it would work this way.?

The artist would classify their music almost like a pay per click account at google specifying the type of music they play, say alternative rock and list a group of artists who are famous say Pearl Jam, Breaking Benjamin, Fuel, etc. who their music is most similar to.  Then when a downloading customer was downloading a track from Breaking Benjamin they would get the opportunity to also download the unknown artists track for free.  Now, you charge say 5 cents a download to the artist to promote his music for him.  So for about 500 bucks the Garage band could be heard by 10,000 new fans all over the world!

Now you tell me what other form of advertising that is highly targeted exists that is this affordable even at twice the price to undiscovered talent.  What a MySpace page?  Really?   With several million (at least) fake accounts and no association with the listener’s favorite artists.  With a annual marketing budget of say 2000 dollars a year a new band could be broadcast to over 40,000 fans each year and with viral sharing possibly a lot more.  Of course you would track the sharing and let the artist know that he paid for 10,000 downloads but now 15,000 fans know about them.

I hope you don’t miss how the user benefits here!  Every time they download some music they get a track or two from undiscovered talent for free, they start to develop a really cool and different music library!  You over time can have an algorithm get better at targeting them by asking them to rate the free tracks on the simple star system.  In time collective intelligence will take over and deliver the perfect type of music from the undiscovered artist to the waiting fan.  Again the more people that use it the better it gets.

Sixth, Browser Integration is the final need in this service.  Users should log into an account via a browser and all outbound traffic should open new tabs in FireFox or Internet Explorer now has tabbed browsing too.  This will keep users on your portal as often as possible.  Jazz it up with things the way Live.com works where users can drop in sports scores, news and other rss feeds.

Of course all users have accounts and all their actions are monitored and demographic profiles are developed.  Partner with Google, Yahoo or Microsoft adCenter and work a deal for demographic targeting of seach results.  Put a search box on the main portal and now you have highly targeted visitors whose traffic can be sold to your search partner.  Since people need your page to download music and get those cool free tunes from unknown artists they will use it often.  By making it browser based you make them use it more and keep them using it longer. 

Now you don’t have to be a genius to understand that if the unknown band has a website the user gets to visit it while downloading the free track do you?  The unknown band can now sell their full album to the user of course most likely across your service and sell their other stuff, T-Shirts, CDs etc directly from their sites.

You should be seeing the final piece by now!   With this type of angle the big artists will want to buy LOTS of free downloads for their fans too.  Think about it, buy 100,000 give always for a big artist is nothing, they spend more on one trip to the shoe store.  With this type of promotional tool, they can then expect to do great with their new album, get lots of traffic to their sites and do what makes them the most money, sell ticket to concerts!

Ok that was long but honestly the above is a complete business plan for the right way to run a music distribution service.  It does the following,

1.  Cuts the cost to download music to a price low enough to make using your service more attractive and adds enough cool features to make it more fun then “stealing” from P2P applications.

2.  Provides a way for users to share resources and relieves the provider of a huge expense all while making the user experience better.

3.  Creates not one but three ad revenue streams from unknown artists, established artists and general search traffic while creating what might be the best demographic targeting in the online world.

4.  Becomes part of the users daily online life, like email or google.  The long-term revenue from this type of visitor loyalty is almost hard to comprehend.  Just ask Eric Schmidt!

5.  Fights piracy by embracing sharing rather then trying to prevent it.  YOU CANNOT STOP sharing music.  People will do it no matter what you do, your goal hear is to capture as much of the untapped market as you can.

Is my plan perfect?  Not at all I am not naive enough, not to know that as you started to build this product that all types of “problems” would show up.  Yet the framework of this plan is in my honest opinion better then any model we have in existence today.  The biggest obstacle would be getting the music industry on board, so it would take a company with enough clout to make Sony fear Time Warner and vise versa, etc. 

Honestly what Microsoft has done with Zune could be turned into my model far easier then anything else today.  Still I think it will need to be some start up with a big named backer to get it done.  It all goes back to greed, the big companies fear what they have to loose with misplaced greed.  The start up would channel greed for what can be gained in and that would send them in the right direction.

I believe a model like this will come to be some day and when it does remember you saw it laid out in full, here first.

So what additions could you make to my proposed service?  If you are a band would you pay 500 bucks to get your music into the players of 10,000 plus fans?  Do you think a model like this can work or will ever occur?  Let me know with your comments below.

 

~  Jack Spirko
 

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The Future of Digital Media by Patrick Seaman

Posted in Future Tech by jspirko on July 16th, 2007
jspirko

Long ago before I was a web marketer I was a salesmen and I really came into my own in that industry in the 90's working for a Network Cabling company called DataConnection. (I am in no way responsible for their website, Tongue out)  During this time I did sales and design specification for a company known as AudioNet which soon became the Internet IPO giant of the 90's known as Broadcast.com.  Today I read a post by Mark Cuban about that Initial IPO and how today is the 8th Anniversary of it.  Mark has a pretty cool promo Video from all of those years ago posted and it really brought back a lot of memories.  The other thing it did was make me think about two things.

  • First - when I watched the video I could not help but think about how if this story were being told by a new company today how Venture Capital would flow in like crazy because it sounds almost as cutting edge today as it did in 1999 and how pathetic it is that Yahoo after buying them never understood what they had and let the whole thing flounder into the abyss of nothingness.
  • Second - It made me think of some old friends I had down on 2929 Elm Street.  A few names jumped to mind including my main contact by the name of Curtis Rogers along with Craig McCue who worked the account with me at DataConnection.  The name I thought of most while watching this video though was Patrick Seaman.  Patrick was a huge part of building Broadcast.com and the least known I think of the real core.  He has a huge heart for helping others as well which is the biggest reason I remember him still to this day.

Spurred by the memory I decided to see what was up with Patrick Today, he is doing well and has a pretty cool blog up and running.  After watching Mark's video on Broadcast I really found one of Patrick's recent posts very interesting.  It is called 

What’s in store for digital media and distribution for the next 10 years?

You may want to give it a read as it is an explanation as to why digital media really has not come as far as most people think in the past 8 years and why there are a lot of road blocks in the future for it.  As it is written by one of the web's true pioneers of audio and video online I would also state it is probably spot on.  The summary being that the future of Digital Media is going to be more concept driven then content driven if the DCMA etc can get out of their own way.

I think Patrick would probably enjoy my post called, The Music Industry is Stupid.   Anyway I agree with Patrick on a lot of what he has to say about Digital Media today and into the future and thought you might enjoy a unique perspective from someone who really has been there and done that.  Patrick also has a pretty cool presentation on Net Neutrality posted, shocking that he seems to agree with my position on that.  Anyway I think if your take a look at Mark's video and then read Patrick's blog post it will drive home just how much still remains to be done in the digital media world and how in their own way much of the industry is.

~ Jack Spirko

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Techzoogle a cool technology blog

Posted in Future Tech by jspirko on January 13th, 2007
jspirko

Recently I discovered a new technology blog called Techzoogle which tracks all types of technology stories from Web 2.0 stuff to general tech news

There were some great postings on this blog but the one that got my interest right away was about a New VW Car that can drive itself.  As the owner of a VW Jetta Diesel I can attest to the brilliance of German engineering and this new VW seems like just the ticket for those long boring trips.

Don't get to excited about getting a car that drives itself yet but it does seem to be on the way. The prototype car already has been able to complete a programed course successfully reaching speeds in excess of 150 mph!  So cruise by Techzoogle some time and check it out, I have already added their feed to my Live.com Feed Reader.

 ~ Jack Spirko

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 Note: This was a sponsored post.

 

 

 

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Putting Together an eLearning Program?

Posted in Future Tech by jspirko on October 23rd, 2006
jspirko

If so Donad Trump and his team have some advice for you.  In a recent blog post by Trump blogger, David Highbloom called, What Belongs in an Electronic Classroom?, David lays out 6 Key Concepts that Trump and his group feel needs to be part of any eLearning Program if it is to be 100% effective.

They are

1.  A variety of media, to allow for learning in different ways through out the day.
2.  An upbeat feel to the course to motivate the student.
3.  The ability to repete lessons and courses
4.  A sense of community
5.  Hands on instructors for some parts of the program with real interaction
6.  Real support to help when you do not understand something

Our staff at ComtechNews happens to be in the early stages of putting together our own program for eLearning and I am happy to state that we had planned from the get go to include some element of each item on this list in our program.  To read such a list from a source like Trump's blog tells us to stay the course on our plans and not to let any element get pushed to the bottom.

I personaly believe that eLearning or Electronic Classes or what ever buzz word is dreamed up to describe this concept is going to be one of the futures strongest technologies.  As people become more focused on specific goals for career, business, specilization and even recreation, electronic learning allows you to learn on your time, at your pace and to focus on what you believe is important.

I don't believe that eLearning will ever fully take over all face to face environments but it will continue to grow and make specialized learning more affordable to more people.  

 

~ Jack Spirko

 

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 The orginal Trump Blog Post - What Belongs in an Electronic Classroom?

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If the music industry “does’t get it” why would the movie industry

Posted in Future Tech, iPod - MP3 by jspirko on September 11th, 2006
jspirko

A few weeks ago a service called SpiralFrog was launched and we were one of the first to report on it in our article, "SpiralFrog - More Proof the Music Companies Just Don’t Get It". Well this weekend a similar story was announce about legal movie downloads. 

The new service run by Amazon.com is called Unbox but I think the term "Unintellegent Marketing" might be a better description. I happen to follow Mark Cuban's blog "Blog Maverick" because in a former life I was deeply involved in the design of the Broadcast.com data centers that made him a billionaire. 

It turns out Mark shares my view on this new service and has posted a review by Richard Greenfield along with his own commentary at his blog. The review and examination of the problems and shortfalls of Unbox is extensive and dead on so rather then review it ourselves we will just recommend that you read Mark's Review of Unbox on his blog. Internet Movie Downloads vs Store DVDs - a quick biz lesson

What do you think the future has in store for Unbox and downloading of Movies in general?

~ Jack Spirko

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Digital Video Surveillance for Restaurants and Bars

Posted in Future Tech by Mark Barrera on August 28th, 2006
Mark Barrera

Video surveillance has gotten very high tech and I have always been interested in the technology. I recently ran across a cool video surveillance software package. After watching the online demo of the Digital Witness software, I was amazed at how advanced their service is for a low monthly subscription price. I am not a fan of having big brother watching over me, but businesses can attain great savings in various ways by utilizing the technology which in my eyes warrants the use of video surveillance in businesses.

The system by Digital Witness uses DVR’s linked to video surveillance cameras to archive video for very easy anlaysis at any time from anywhere. The video is stored on the Digital Witness server for easy viewing on the Internet any. The most popular application for this service is to restaurants and bars but it is very valuable in any retail or business environment. If you have a customer try to dispute a charge you can easily call up that transaction and you have the video proof of each movement for that specific customer. The benefits of a system like this are limitless.

According to a 1999 study done by the National Restaurant Association, employee theft averages $218 per person each year. Worse yet, security experts call that estimate conservative. According to the Association of Certified Fraud Examiners, occupational fraud costs the average business $4,500 per employee annually. The total national loss to occupational fraud is over $400 billion, and the restaurant industry claims over 9.5 percent of the total.

Digital Witness has developed its own proprietary software that allows you to view live video, recorded video, even video tied to your point of sale system. It also can develop customized, easy-to-read reports that provide the information you need to run your business better. Their interface is easy to use and allows you to retrieve video by camera, time, activity, and many other variables and can be viewed online anytime.

I highly recommend that owners of any restaurant, bar or retail store look into digital video surveillance and video management. This can help decrease loss, recapture revenue, improve customer service, improve training and productivity, improve customer service and ultimately improve your bottom line.
surveillance, video surveillance, loss prevention, restaurant surveillance, video management

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New Source of Free Clean Energy?

Posted in Future Tech by jspirko on August 18th, 2006
jspirko

Almost since the first drop of oil was refined or lump of coal sent through a breaker man has dreamed of a day when we can create energy from nothing. There are two type of simple energy that exist in the universe that have no ill effects on man or the environment that also exert massive energy that can be observed each and ever day.

The first is gravity which holds everything on planet earth not to mention holds the planet in orbit. We tend to see gavity as a very powerful force, I mean it hold the entire earth, 8 other planets and millions of smaller bodies in orbit around the sun. Yet there is another very common force that is far more powerful then gravity, that force is magnetism. Think about it you have a paper clip being held to a table by the force of gravity and even a small kitchen magnet held above it exerts more then enough force to over come gravity and cause the paper clip to leap into the air and be held by the magnet. Everyone has played with magnets at one time or another but seldom do we realize that what we are seeing is a show of just how much more powerful magnetism is then gravity.

repelling magnetsThink about this another more revealing way. You get two very powerful magnets, and place them so they repell each other. You take a machine that exerts just enough force to hold them together but that machine runs on gas. You put 10 gallons of gas into the machine which runs it for 5 hours. During that 5 hours all the gas is burnt and all the emissions are released into the atmosphere. Upon completion of the 5 hours the machine fails and the magnets repel. The magnets have lost none of their force, created no emissions and out lasted the gas powered machine.

Now a firm in Ireland has claimed to have found a way to harness this power to produce clean and unending energy. Such claims are made often and treated with a great deal of skepticism, (as they should be) because so many have attempted to produce energy from magnets and failed in the past.

Yet just today Dublin-based Steorn said its technology based on the interaction of magnetic fields allows the production of clean, free and constant energy challenging fundamental scientific principles. In fact they have issued a challange on their website were you can learn about the people who accept it and the results of the testing. You can view that challange here

Now this whole thing could just be a unique form of Link Bait , it did get us to link to them right? Yet it seems pretty well thought out and if they are going to go through with it, I just can’t believe the bad PR would be worth a few hundred links.

In short the company is looking for 12 independent scientists to take part in a rigorous testing exercise to prove the technology creates free energy. If this proves to be true the impact on global energy demands could be enormous. The story is that the Firm was orginaly hired to create probing methods of powering CCTV cameras over three years ago and that research led to the creation of this new technology.

You can read a story about the Challange and Technology in The Irish Examiner’s story,
Wanted: scientists to test free energy technolog

Call us skeptical hopefuls here at ComTech News. We would love to see this claim proven truth but will reserve any judgement until some creditable independent results are published. No one doubts that magnetism has the potential to create energy, it is the formula to do so that remains the Holy Grail of magnetic energy generation, just perhaps Steorn has found it…

~ Jack

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